Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.6#17
Expected Predictive Rating+17.5#14
Pace69.3#126
Improvement-2.4#285

Offense
Total Offense+11.5#12
First Shot+10.7#9
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#112
Layup/Dunks+2.6#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#13
Freethrows-1.3#256
Improvement+1.8#79

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#41
First Shot+7.1#18
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#286
Layups/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
Freethrows+4.0#10
Improvement-4.2#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 37.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 98.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round81.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen45.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight20.6% n/a n/a
Final Four9.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.2% n/a n/a
National Champion1.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 320   Savannah St. W 113-71 99%     1 - 0 +28.8 +4.1 +14.1
  Nov 14, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 73-55 98%     2 - 0 +11.9 -4.6 +15.6
  Nov 20, 2016 297   The Citadel W 130-63 99%     3 - 0 +55.8 +20.3 +21.4
  Nov 24, 2016 191   Indiana St. W 73-71 95%     4 - 0 +0.5 -1.9 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2016 31   Miami (FL) W 73-56 68%     5 - 0 +29.9 +9.4 +20.6
  Nov 27, 2016 1   Gonzaga L 71-73 26%     5 - 1 +22.3 +20.3 +1.8
  Dec 01, 2016 24   Cincinnati L 54-55 OT 67%     5 - 2 +12.0 -2.7 +14.5
  Dec 05, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha W 91-47 96%     6 - 2 +41.4 +11.6 +28.4
  Dec 08, 2016 65   @ Iowa L 64-78 74%     6 - 3 -3.0 -6.0 +3.1
  Dec 17, 2016 255   Drake W 97-80 97%     7 - 3 +11.6 +14.4 -3.9
  Dec 20, 2016 344   Mississippi Valley W 88-60 99.7%    8 - 3 +8.9 +5.0 +4.4
  Dec 30, 2016 45   Texas Tech W 63-56 80%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +15.7 +5.0 +12.1
  Jan 04, 2017 15   @ Baylor L 63-65 40%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +18.2 +7.6 +10.4
  Jan 07, 2017 63   Texas W 79-70 86%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +15.0 +13.9 +1.2
  Jan 11, 2017 20   @ Oklahoma St. W 96-86 44%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +29.0 +20.4 +7.9
  Jan 14, 2017 37   @ TCU L 77-84 63%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +7.2 +12.4 -5.4
  Jan 16, 2017 6   Kansas L 72-76 53%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +12.9 +6.6 +6.2
  Jan 21, 2017 60   @ Oklahoma W 92-87 2OT 71%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +16.8 +6.6 +9.1
  Jan 24, 2017 30   Kansas St. W 70-65 75%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +15.4 +4.3 +11.2
  Jan 28, 2017 34   @ Vanderbilt L 78-84 60%     13 - 7 +8.9 +14.7 -6.0
  Jan 31, 2017 5   West Virginia L 72-85 51%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +4.2 +7.8 -3.6
  Feb 04, 2017 6   @ Kansas W 92-89 OT 33%     14 - 8 6 - 4 +25.0 +22.9 +1.9
  Feb 07, 2017 63   @ Texas L 65-67 73%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +9.1 +6.7 +2.2
  Feb 11, 2017 60   Oklahoma W 80-64 84%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +22.7 +15.3 +7.9
  Feb 15, 2017 30   @ Kansas St. W 87-79 58%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +23.4 +21.3 +2.0
  Feb 18, 2017 37   TCU W 84-71 79%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +22.1 +17.5 +5.0
  Feb 20, 2017 45   @ Texas Tech W 82-80 OT 64%     18 - 9 10 - 5 +15.8 +15.0 +0.8
  Feb 25, 2017 15   Baylor W 72-69 60%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +18.1 +28.3 -9.4
  Feb 28, 2017 20   Oklahoma St. W 86-83 64%     20 - 9 12 - 5 +16.9 +15.6 +1.4
  Mar 03, 2017 5   @ West Virginia L 76-87 32%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +11.3 +9.6 +2.4
  Mar 09, 2017 20   Oklahoma St. W 92-83 54%     21 - 10 +25.5 +19.2 +6.1
  Mar 10, 2017 37   TCU W 84-63 72%     22 - 10 +32.7 +24.5 +10.3
  Mar 11, 2017 5   West Virginia W 80-74 42%     23 - 10 +25.7 +21.3 +4.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 0.3 8.6 28.4 43.7 17.8 1.2 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.7 0.0 0.3 8.6 28.4 43.7 17.8 1.2 0.0